OilBrief

Which oil is at risk today, and what it means for price.

OilBrief tracks the geopolitical risk on the routes oil travels, measures how many barrels pass through them, and publishes scored calls on crude, products, tankers and energy equities.

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How a call is made

A desk of AI analysts works the way an oil research team does: specialists first, then argument, then a single accountable call. Every step is published with the call.

  1. 1

    A route's threat level changes

    MilInsights' ARGUS service releases a public-source assessment of an oil route. Only a change in its threat level starts a new run, so quiet days stay quiet.

  2. 2

    Supply and market analysts read it

    One works out how much of the route's flow is exposed and whether barrels would be lost or only rerouted. The other reads recent prices to judge what is already priced.

  3. 3

    Bull and bear argue

    Two researchers make the opposing cases, from spare capacity and stock releases to freight and insurance, and rebut each other.

  4. 4

    A risk panel pushes back

    Aggressive, conservative and neutral reviewers test the plan, including fund roll costs, and name the event that would make it wrong.

  5. 5

    One call is published

    A rating against the S&P 500, a horizon, a confidence word, a short thesis and an invalidation point. If no rating can be read, nothing is published.

Every call is scored

When a call's horizon ends we compare the asset with the S&P 500 over the same days and publish the result, wrong calls included. A short lesson from each one feeds the next.

See the full track record
Calls scored
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Right against the market
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Average excess return, in the called direction
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Live markets

WTI, Brent, Henry Hub, RBOB and heating oil every 15 minutes, with the EIA's weekly inventory report.

Open markets

Intelligence feed

Energy headlines from public sources, tagged by topic and likely market impact, with price alerts by email or Telegram.

Read the feed

Physical marketplace

Verified members post crude, product, LNG and LPG cargoes and agree terms directly with each other.

How it works

Plans

Start with a 14-day Basic trial. The brief, routes and track record stay free.

Compare plans
Basic
$99a month
Live market data and the full intelligence feed.
Professional
$499a month
Calls the moment they publish, with the reasoning.
Enterprise
$2,999a month
For desks that build on OilBrief data.
Government
Custom
For agencies and public bodies.

Research only. OilBrief does not place trades or give personal advice, and does not know your circumstances.